Certainty

Today i am sharing one of the first sections of the ‘Social Age Guidebook’ text: this extract forms one of the ten ‘landmarks’ that we explore through the book and concerns our own ‘certainty’ as to how things just are.

Landmark 1: Certainty

Our first Landmark to visit is the notion of ‘Certainty’, and specifically how certain we are about how the world works. This is about examining the bedrock beneath our feet, the rock upon which we build our foundations.

In my own work i have started to use the term ‘Dominant Narrative’, to describe the social narratives we use to make sense of the world. Consensual delusions of ‘how things just are’. These are the frameworks of understanding that give us common language and intent, but which can also delude or undermine us if they become outdated, or shift.

Our attitudes to equality, to capitalism, to employment, all of these are Dominant Narratives. To us, in the moment, they feel concrete, but over time, all have evolved. All simply represent a common, consensus, view.

Importantly, Dominant Narratives are not underlying ‘truths’: rather they are socially moderated schemas. Or to put it another way, they are made up. Made up of ideas, not steel.

The Social Age sees many established Dominant Narratives fracturing: the nature of work, the nature of ‘education’ and ‘learning’, the notion of ‘nations’, the dynamics of gendered power, many things that were ‘certain’ about, but now shifting.

The significance is that ‘certainty’ is not an abstract concept: although our certainty is simply vapour in the air, it accretes systems, processes, and other artefacts, around itself. Rules, laws, organisational structures, financial structures, systems of control and consequence, all grow around our ideas of ‘certainty’. As certainty proves ephemeral, fractured, or misled, so too does much of the structure that we aggregated around it.

Take the location of work: it used to be within an office, so ideas of commuting, of lunch spots, of infrastructure, of offices, of timekeeping, of management, of supply chain, a whole host of logistical, and social, structures were created to ‘manage’ and ‘enable’ it. But now that the nature of work has changed, much of that old structure becomes a hindrance. The emergence of coffee shops with great WiFi was the precursor to fully shared working spaces, and now the emergence of the new ‘Guild’ halls, powerful spaces of creative energy, hubs of innovation and hosts of networks. All sat in the shadow, or ruins, of the old.

So old notions that were ‘certain’ are failing, but what is replacing them? And what is the true risk of this failure? The issue here is that our idea of certainty forms the foundation of the ways we frame understanding and action. If we are ‘certain’ of how the world works, we have solid foundations for contextualising, and planning, action. But if our certainty is delusional, outdated, or plain wrong, then our foundations are fractured.

The Social Age is a time of broad uncertainty and, most importantly, we have not yet arrived at the new answers. Most of the disruption that we see is primary: it disputes or negates old frames, but does not necessarily imply or create the new.

Take education: clearly the geolocation, centralisation, and ownership, of learning by any central authority is an outdated notion, and hence the entire infrastructure of education (schools, centres of excellence, universities etc) may be outdated. But what the new model is is less clear: collaborative, distributed, co-created, certainly. Taught, occasionally. Owned? Rarely. Impacted by technology? Undoubtedly. But state funded technology? Unlikely. The disruption is clear, the answer, less so.

A core feature of the Social Age is a deep seated uncertainty, and no clearly new organising principles.

What you need to know

• In the context of the Social Age, things that were certain may prove to be illusory.
• We are not yet at an end state.
• Much of our infrastructure of social organisation and work is a shadow of that old world, which may hold us to the past state.